523
FXUS01 KWBC 012000
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EDT THU OCT 1 2026
VALID 00Z FRI OCT 02 2026 - 00Z SUN OCT 04 2026
...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CONCERNS LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE SHIFTING INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND GULF COAST
THIS WEEKEND...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL FOCUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
ITS BOUNDARY FROM SOUTH TEXAS UP THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. STORMS PERSIST OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON FRIDAY DUE TO THE QUASI-STATIONARY NATURE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED FRONT, THOUGH, THE NORTHERN PORTION OF IT CONTINUES
TO MOVE EAST AND SPREADS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY, NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
ORIGINATING FROM THE CARIBBEAN WILL FLOW NORTHWARD AND INTERACT
WITH A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG THE GULF COAST LEADING TO SOME
THUNDERSTORM AND HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL ON FRIDAY. THE SLOW
MOVING FRONT FINALLY ARRIVES OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND GULF COAST BY
SATURDAY, WHEN IT WILL COMBINE WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MOISTURE TO
GENERATE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM SOUTH TEXAS TO THE
CAROLINAS.
ELSEWHERE, ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SWING SOUTH INTO THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. ON SATURDAY, GENERATING ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES.
PERSISTENT RIDGING OVER THE WEST WILL PROMOTE ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WILL PROVIDE LITTLE TO
NO OVERNIGHT RELIEF TO THOSE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING OR HYDRATION.
EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOCAL FROM THE SAN
DIEGO METRO TO THE LOS ANGELES METRO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
KEBEDE
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