563
FXUS23 KWNC 222003
PMDSST
TROPICAL PACIFIC MEAN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE/SST/ OUTLOOK
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EST FRI DEC 15 2023
MEAN TEMPERATURE ANOMALY SST OUTLOOKS ARE IN TENTH OF A DEGREE
CELSIUS FOR THE NINO 3.4 AREA OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC /5N-5S
120W-170W/. ANOMALIES ARE FROM 1991-2020 NINO 3.4 CLIMATOLOGY
SST /CLIM/.
THREE MONTH OUTLOOK PERIODS
EG. JFM IS JANUARY THROUGH MARCH - FMA FOR FEB. THROUGH APR.
SEE NOTES BELOW ON TYPES OF OUTLOOKS
TYPE JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM
CONS 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.6 -0.5 -0.6 -0.4
U68 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6
L68 0.8 0.4 -0.0 -0.2 -0.5 -0.9 -1.0 -1.2 -1.4 -1.7 -1.7 -1.7 -1.4
U95 1.9 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2
L95 0.6 0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.8 -1.3 -1.5 -1.8 -2.0 -2.4 -2.5 -2.4 -2.0
CCA 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 -0.7
CA 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 -0.2 -0.5 -0.7 -0.7 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.7
CFS 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 -0.3 -0.7
CLM 26.9 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.6 26.7 26.9
CONS - OFFICIAL CONSOLIDATED OUTLOOK
U68 - THE UPPER LIMIT OF THE 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORECAST
L68 - THE LOWER LIMIT OF THE 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORECAST
U95 - THE UPPER LIMIT OF THE 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORECAST
L95 - THE LOWER LIMIT OF THE 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORECAST
CCA - CANONICAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS OUTLOOK
CA - CONSTRUCTED ANALOG OUTLOOK
CFS - NCEP CFS VERSION 2 DYNAMIC MODEL OUTLOOK
CLM - CLIMATOLOGICAL MEAN NINO 3.4 SST
THIS PRODUCT IS AVAILABLE IN A GRAPHICAL FORMAT ON THE INTERNET
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page