033
FXHW01 KWNH 080718
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
218 AM EST THU DEC 08 2022
VALID 00Z FRI DEC 09 2022 - 00Z FRI DEC 16 2022
LATEST MODEL AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS STILL REASONABLY AGREE UPON
THE PATTERN EVOLUTION FOR THE NEXT WEEK IN A REGIME WITH SEEMINGLY
ABOVE AVERAGE FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE STATE SHOULD SUPPORT MODERATE TO
BRISK MEAN ISLAND TRADES INTO NEXT WEEK IN A PATTERN WITH MODEST
MOISTURE FOR WINDWARD TERRAIN/MOUNTAIN FOCUSING SHOWERS UNDER
UPPER RIDGING. A CLOSED LOW MEANWHILE SET SOUTHEAST OF THE STATE
MAY ONLY NUDGE THE RIDGE, WITH POOLED MOISTURE HOLDING OFFSHORE
THE BIG ISLAND. THERE IS A GROWING SIGNAL TO DIG UPPER TROUGH
ENERGIES AND AN ASSOCIATED SERIES OF SURFACE FRONTS TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE ISLANDS THAT BY LATER NEXT WEEK MAY ACT TO
DISRUPT/VEER TRADES ENOUGH TO ALLOW DEEPER MOISTURE RETURN.
SCHICHTEL
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