822
FXHW01 KWNH 010745
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
345 AM EDT MON MAY 01 2023
VALID 00Z TUE MAY 02 2023 - 00Z TUE MAY 09 2023
A FAVORED COMPOSITE BLEND OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS GOOD ENSEMBLE
SUPPORT OVERALL IN A PATTERN WITH AVERAGE TO ABOVE AVERAGE
PREDICTABILITY. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT FROM THE
WEST-CENTRAL PACIFIC MID-LATITUDES WILL PASS TO THE WEST OF THE
STATE EARLY THIS WEEK. SUBSEQUENT HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES
LOOK TO DRIFT EASTWARD ENOUGH TO BRING SHOWERS TO KAUAI AND OAHU
MOST LIKELY ON TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH/SURFACE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN/DISSIPATE BY LATE WEEK AS
AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CONSOLIDATES TO THE NORTH.
MODERATE, BREEZY TRADES SHOULD SETTLE IN UNDER THIS PATTERN WITH
DAILY WINDWARD SHOWER CHANCES.
PUTNAM
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