779
FXHW01 KWNH 230737
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
336 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2023
VALID 00Z SAT JUN 24 2023 - 00Z SAT JUL 01 2023
GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGED AND SETTLED
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE STATE SHOULD FAVOR BREEZY TO
WINDY ISLAND TRADES OVER MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. UPPER RIDGE
EMBEDDED IMPULSES/EVENTUAL WEAKNESS ALOFT MAY COMBINE WITH POCKETS
OF RELATIVELY DEEPER MOISTURE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TRADE FLOW TO
PERIODICALLY FUEL SHOWERS SET TO MAINLY FOCUS OVER FAVORED
WINDWARD TERRAIN, BUT THE PATTERN SEEMS LACKING IN MUCH DEEP
MOISTURE OR INSTABILITY. OVERALL, A COMPOSITE BLEND OF GENERALLY
COMPATIBLE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES SEEMS PREFERRED FOR THE NEXT WEEK.
SCHICHTEL
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