576  
FXHW01 KWNH 020711  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
310 AM EDT SAT SEP 02 2023  
 
VALID 00Z SUN SEP 03 2023 - 00Z SUN SEP 10 2023  
 
A FAVORED COMPOSITE OF REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED GUIDANCE  
INDICATES THAT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST OF  
THE STATE SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZIER THAN NORMAL ISLAND WINDS TODAY.  
RIDGING ALOFT AND BELOW NORMAL DEWPOINTS/HUMIDITY LEVELS MAY  
COMBINE WITH THE BREEZY CONDITIONS TO OFFER SOME LINGERING FIRE  
DANGER RISKS. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK THOUGH, LOWERING HEIGHTS ALOFT  
APPEAR LIKELY, PROVIDING FOR SOME POSSIBLE INSTABILITY UNDER/EAST  
OF AN EMERGING MEAN UPPER TROUGH POSITION. A WEAKENING SURFACE  
PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD LEAD TO DECREASING TRADE WINDS AND  
PERHAPS MORE OF A LAND/SEA BREEZE PATTERN. INCREASING SHOWERS ARE  
POSSIBLE WHERE MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE. THERE HAS BEEN A  
RECURRING SIGNAL SUPPORTING A BRIEF INCURSION OF MOISTURE  
PARTICULARLY FOR THE NORTHWESTERN ISLANDS AROUND MONDAY, BUT  
CHANCES OF A GREATER MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE ITCZ INTO AT LEAST  
THE BIG ISLAND INTO/THROUGH MIDWEEK IN A PATTERN SEEMINGLY  
FAVORING A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING OF TRADES INTO THE STATE.  
 
SCHICHTEL  
 

 
 
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