789
FXHW01 KWNH 070717
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
316 AM EDT SAT OCT 07 2023
VALID 00Z SUN OCT 08 2023 - 00Z SUN OCT 15 2023
MODEL AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS ARE REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED FOR
MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK IN A GENERALLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WITH
SEEMINGLY ABOVE NORMAL PREDICTABILITY. A FAVORED COMPOSITE
INDICATES THAT MOISTURE SHOULD THIN THIS WEEKEND AND HIGH PRESSURE
BRIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS SHOULD ALLOW THE RETURN OF
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS THROUGH EARLY-MID NEXT WEEK. MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WINDWARD/MAUKA SHOWERS, AND VERY
LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO REACH LEEWARD COMMUNITIES.
SOME MODELS SHOW AN AXIS OF MOISTURE EXTENDING TOWARDS THE BIG
ISLAND MID-WEEK, WHICH MAY INCREASE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. TRADE
WINDS WILL LIKELY TEMPORARILY DECREASE LATER NEXT WEEK AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH, BUT MAY RETURN HEADING INTO NEXT
WEEKEND WITH RENEWED POST-FRONTAL HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE ISLANDS.
SCHICHTEL
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page