745  
FXHW01 KWNH 080748  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
247 AM EST FRI DEC 08 2023  
 
VALID 00Z SAT DEC 09 2023 - 00Z SAT DEC 16 2023  
 
THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK, A FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH AND THEN LIKELY  
STALL JUST NORTH OF THE STATE, BUT COULD PUSH A BAND OF WEAK  
MOISTURE INTO KAUAI FOR SOME INCREASING SHOWER CHANCES THERE.  
MEANWHILE THIS PATTERN HAS REDUCED THE TYPICAL TRADE WINDS, AND  
WEAK WINDS FAVORING LAND AND SEA BREEZES SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE  
THROUGH FRIDAY-SATURDAY. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, TRADES LOOK TO  
INCREASE AGAIN TO AROUND MODERATE LEVELS WITH A RELATIVELY WEAK  
SURFACE RIDGE POKING IN FROM THE EAST, AND THEN COULD STRENGTHEN  
FURTHER FROM THE NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION BY TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY AS A  
SURFACE HIGH COMES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE PATTERN MAY ALLOW  
FOR SOME WINDWARD/MAUKA SHOWERS. THERE IS AMPLE UNCERTAINTY AT  
THIS POINT IF ANOTHER COLD FRONT COULD APPROACH OR MOVE THROUGH  
THE STATE FOR MID TO LATE WEEK, WITH THE GFS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE  
IN PUSHING A FRONT ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE STATE WHILE OTHER  
GUIDANCE STALLS IT TO THE NORTH OR JUST SNEAKS IT INTO THE  
NORTHWESTERN ISLANDS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.  
 
TATE  
 
 
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