575  
FXHW01 KWNH 290703  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
203 AM EST FRI DEC 29 2023  
 
VALID 00Z SAT DEC 30 2023 - 00Z SAT JAN 06 2024  
 
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A RELATIVELY BENIGN  
WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS HAWAII FOR ABOUT THE NEXT WEEK. SOME LIGHT  
PRECIPITATION FAVORING TYPICAL WINDWARD SLOPES WILL BE POSSIBLE  
ASSOCIATED WITH A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS NEAR OR NORTH OF THE  
STATE. TRADES COULD ALSO BE BRIEFLY DISRUPTED BY THESE FRONTAL  
PROGRESSIONS. BY EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, STRONG HIGH  
PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD NORTH OF HAWAII BRINGING IN MORE MODERATE  
TO BRISK TRADES. AT LEAST ON A RELATIVE BASIS, RAINFALL MAY ALSO  
INCREASE SOMEWHAT OVER THE EASTERN ISLANDS NEXT WEEK AIDED BY  
INCREASED MOISTURE FROM POSSIBLE SHORTWAVE ENERGY SEPARATION FROM  
THE WESTERLIES AND ALIGNING NEAR THE BIG ISLAND. THIS MAY  
ULTIMATELY LEAD INTO A SOMEWHAT WETTER PATTERN BY LATE NEXT WEEK  
AS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SUPPORT FOR AN UPPER TROUGH  
WEST OF THE STATE BUT WITH STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE  
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE WITH THIS FEATURE.  
 
SANTORELLI  
 

 
 
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