723
FXHW01 KWNH 240704
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
203 AM EST WED JAN 24 2024
VALID 00Z THU JAN 25 2024 - 00Z THU FEB 01 2024
A MOISTURE POOLING FRONT IS SET TO APPROACH THE ISLANDS FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE SLOWLY WEAKENING FRONT
WILL ENHANCE ISLAND WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND BRING IN A
MORE MOIST AIRMASS TO FUEL SOME SHOWERS/DOWNPOURS ACROSS THE STATE
AS PROMPTED BY UPPER TROUGH/DEEP LOW PASSAGE TO THE NORTH OF THE
STATE. EXPECT LINGERING MOISTURE AND SHOWERS INTO THIS WEEKEND
WITH THE STALLING FRONT OVER THE EASTERN ISLANDS, WITH DRIER
POST-FRONTAL CONDITION OVER THE WESTERN ISLANDS. HIGHLY ENERGETIC
AND PROGRESSIVE FLOW THEN SETTING UP JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
STATE OFFERS LESS CERTAIN POTENTIAL FOR THE FORCING OF A SECOND
FRONT AND ANOTHER ENHANCED AXIS OF MOISTURE INTO THE STATE THAT
COULD FUEL ANOTHER RAIN/CONVECTION PUSH, POSSOBLY INTO THE WESTERN
TO CENTRAL ISLANDS EARLY-MID NEXT WEEK. OVERALL, A FAVORED
COMPOSITE OF GUIDANCE STILL SEEMS TO OFFER A REASONABLE FORECAST
BASIS AND GOOD CYCLE TO CYCLE CONTINUITY THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
SCHICHTEL
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