098
FXHW01 KWNH 090701
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 AM EST FRI FEB 9 2024
VALID 00Z SAT FEB 10 2024 - 00Z SAT FEB 17 2024
THE SURFACE HIGH THAT IS INITIALLY NORTHEAST OF HAWAII WILL
CONTINUE DRIFTING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A COL TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AXIS THAT IS EXPECTED TO EXIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
MEANWHILE, MULTIPLE TROUGH/FRONT PASSAGES ARE EXPECTED WELL NORTH
OF THE STATE, BUT A STRONGER FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY APPROACH AROUND
THURSDAY BASED ON THE LATEST ENSEMBLE MEANS.
THE WEAKER THAN USUAL PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK WILL RESULT IN
MAINLY LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS THAT WILL INITIALLY BE OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST, AND THEN BECOME MORE VARIABLE WITH THE COL CENTERED
OVER THE ISLANDS. WINDS MAY BECOME STRONGER OUT OF THE NORTH LATE
IN THE WEEK IF THE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE STATE. SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FAVORED TERRAIN, BUT NO
ORGANIZED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ANTICIPATED.
HAMRICK
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