242  
FXHW01 KWNH 110735  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
235 AM EST SUN FEB 11 2024  
 
VALID 00Z MON FEB 12 2024 - 00Z MON FEB 19 2024  
 
THE HAWAII DOMAIN WILL BE WITHIN A COL IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE  
GOING INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. THE FIRST FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE STATE MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY,  
AND THEN A SECOND AND LIKELY STRONGER FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES  
ON THURSDAY, AND THEN CLEARS THE BIG ISLAND BY FRIDAY MORNING.  
HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST GOING INTO THE END  
OF THE WEEK BASED ON THE ENSEMBLE MEANS, WITH THE SURFACE HIGH  
CENTERED JUST NORTH OF THE FAR NORTHWESTERN ISLANDS BY NEXT SUNDAY.  
 
THE WEAKER THAN USUAL PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY WILL RESULT IN MAINLY LIGHT LOW LEVEL  
WINDS THAT WILL INITIALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST, AND THEN BECOME  
MORE VARIABLE WITH THE COL CENTERED OVER THE ISLANDS. WINDS MAY  
BECOME NORTHERLY FOR THE NORTHWESTERN ISLANDS ON TUESDAY, AND THEN  
A STRONGER SURGE OUT OF THE NORTH LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE COLD  
FRONT CLEARS THE STATE, FOLLOWED BY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. SOME  
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FAVORED  
TERRAIN, AND PERHAPS A MODEST INCREASE IN RAINFALL WITH THE FRONT  
ON THURSDAY, BUT OTHERWISE NO ORGANIZED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL  
ARE ANTICIPATED.  
 
HAMRICK  
 

 
 
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