915  
FXHW01 KWNH 170636  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
235 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2024  
 
VALID 00Z SAT MAY 18 2024 - 00Z SAT MAY 25 2024  
   
..HEAVY RAIN THREAT LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
 
 
THE LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE DEEP KONA LOW  
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF HAWAII AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE BOUNDARY REACHING  
THE MAIN ISLANDS WILL SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD  
THREATS PROGRESSING GRADUALLY FROM THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN ISLANDS  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE MODELS SHOW GOOD  
AGREEMENT THE LOW SHOULD WEAKEN, BUT GENERAL TROUGHING BEING  
MAINTAINED TO THE WEST OF THE STATE INTO MID WEEK. THIS WILL BRING  
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND BOTH A WINDWARD AND SEA  
BREEZE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS. RAINFALL SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHTER  
THAN THE WEEKEND, THOUGH THE COMBINATION OF PWATS STAYING SOMEWHAT  
ABOVE NORMAL AND UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES COULD STILL PROVIDE SOME  
LOCALIZED ENHANCEMENT.  
 
SANTORELLI  
 

 
 
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