322
WTNT32 KWNH 100846
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022024
400 AM CDT WED JUL 10 2024
...RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND A FEW TORNADOES CONTINUES ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE PATH OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...40.9N 85.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM NE OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SW OF DETROIT MICHIGAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF...
* ILLINOIS
* NORTHERN INDIANA
* SOUTHERN MICHIGAN
* CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
* VERMONT
* NEW HAMPSHIRE
* MAINE
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH (31
KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR BERYL CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT42 KNHC,
AND ON THE NHC WEBSITE AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT2.SHTML.
TORNADOES: A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, MAINLY OVER WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.
RAINFALL: HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS, IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH POST TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?RAINQPF AND THE FLASH FLOOD RISK
GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?ERO
FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS (AND WIND REPORTS) ASSOCIATED
THIS STORM, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE
WMO HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.
FORECASTER CHENARD/DOLAN
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