982
WTNT32 KWNH 102039
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022024
500 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2024
...RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND A FEW TORNADOES FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES INTO THE OVERNIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.2N 81.8W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF BUFFALO NEW YORK
ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM WSW OF MONTREAL QUEBEC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF...
* CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
* NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF...
* NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
* NEW ENGLAND
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 18
MPH (30 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, SOME OF WHICH
MAY BE LOCALLY CONSIDERABLE, THROUGH TONIGHT FOR CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ISOLATED MINOR RIVER
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
KEY MESSAGES FOR BERYL CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT42 KNHC,
AND ON THE NHC WEBSITE AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT2.SHTML.
TORNADOES: A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS
UPSTATE NEW YORK, NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA, INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND.
RAINFALL: HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS, IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH POST TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?RAINQPF AND THE FLASH FLOOD RISK
GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?ERO
FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS (AND WIND REPORTS) ASSOCIATED
THIS STORM, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE
WMO HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
FORECASTER JACKSON
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