085   
FXHW01 KWNH 220751  
PMDHI   
  
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
350 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2024  
  
VALID 00Z TUE JUL 23 2024 - 00Z TUE JUL 30 2024  
  
HIGH PRESSURE INITIALLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE STATE NEAR  
40N LATITUDE AND SLOWLY RETROGRADING THEREAFTER WILL SUPPORT  
TRADES AND GENERALLY WINDWARD-FOCUSED SHOWERS DURING THE PERIOD.   
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS STILL SUGGESTS THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD  
BE IN THE MID-LATE WEEK TIME FRAME, WITH A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS  
ALOFT TO THE NORTH/WEST OF THE MAIN ISLANDS HELPING TO LOOSEN THE  
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SOMEWHAT DURING THE WEEKEND.  MEANWHILE  
THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE MAINTAINED CONTINUITY WITH AN AREA  
OF ENHANCED MOISTURE (LIKELY IN TWO DISTINCT POCKETS) CROSSING THE  
AREA AROUND TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY.  THIS MOISTURE MAY INCREASE  
RAINFALL TOTALS SOMEWHAT.  MOST SOLUTIONS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD  
SOMEWHAT SLOWER DEPARTURE OF THE MOISTURE ON THURSDAY, BUT  
CONTINUE TO SHOW A PERIOD OF BELOW-CLIMATOLOGY PRECIPITABLE WATER  
VALUES (WITH CORRESPONDING LIGHTER RAINFALL) FROM FRIDAY THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A LITTLE MORE SPREAD FOR MOISTURE BY NEXT  
MONDAY WITH NO CLEAR CLUSTERING AT THIS TIME.  
  
RAUSCH  
  
  
 
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