859   
FXHW01 KWNH 190732  
PMDHI   
  
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
332 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2024  
  
VALID 00Z TUE AUG 20 2024 - 00Z TUE AUG 27 2024  
  
LATEST MODEL AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS REMAIN REASONABLY WELL  
CLUSTERED FOR MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK IN A PATTERN WITH SEEMINGLY  
ABOVE NORMAL PREDICTABILITY. A FAVORED GUIDANCE COMPOSITE  
INDICATES THAT ISLAND TRADES WILL STRENGTHEN AND MAINTAIN BREEZY  
LEVELS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AND BRIDGES TO THE NORTH OF  
THE STATE. THROUGH THE PERIOD, SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FAVORING  
TYPICAL WINDWARD/MAUKA AREAS, BUT OCCASIONALLY SPILLING INTO  
LEEWARD AREAS. SHOWERS MAY BE SUPPORTED BY NEARBY MID-UPPER LEVEL  
TROUGHING AND PERIODIC MOISTURE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT  
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED IN THIS PERIOD.  
  
HOWEVER, GUIDANCE SIGNALS ARE GROWING THAT DEEP MOISTURE COULD  
ADVECT INTO AT LEAST THE BIG ISLAND LATER WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT  
WEEK FROM POSSIBLE TROPICAL LOW/CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENTS NOW BEING  
MONITORED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS BY THE NATIONAL  
HURRICANE CENTER AND CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER.  
  
SCHICHTEL  
  
  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.


The Nexlab HPC Page

Main Text Page