715  
FXHW01 KWNH 200705  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
304 AM EDT TUE AUG 20 2024  
 
VALID 00Z WED AUG 21 2024 - 00Z WED AUG 28 2024  
 
GUIDANCE OVERALL REMAINS REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED THIS WEEK IN A  
PATTERN WITH SEEMINGLY ABOVE NORMAL PREDICTABILITY. A FAVORED  
MODEL COMPOSITE SUPPORTS QUITE BREEZY TRADES WITH SURFACE HIGH  
PRESSURE BUILDING AND BRIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE. SHOWERS  
ARE LIKELY TO FAVOR TYPICAL WINDWARD/MAUKA AREAS THIS WEEK, BUT  
MAY OCCASIONALLY SPILL INTO LEEWARD AREAS.  
 
A CONSISTENT RECENT FORECAST SIGNAL CONTINUES TO SHOW DEEP  
MOISTURE ADVECTING INTO AT LEAST THE BIG ISLAND BY LATER THIS  
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ORIGINS FROM POSSIBLE TROPICAL  
LOW/CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENTS NOW BEING MONITORED WELL TO THE  
SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND  
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. SYSTEM PROXIMITY IN THIS  
SCENARIO COULD FAVOR A MUCH WETTER AND WINDY PERIOD ALONG WITH  
POTENTIAL MARITIME HAZARDS.  
 
SCHICHTEL  
 
 
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