119
FXHW01 KWNH 210730
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
329 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2024
VALID 00Z SUN SEP 22 2024 - 00Z SUN SEP 29 2024
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE THAT RECENT MODERATE TO
BREEZY EASTERLY TRADES IN PLACE ACROSS HAWAII WILL LINGER TODAY,
WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS BUT A FEW SHOWERS FAVORING
WINDWARD/MAUKA AREAS. OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, A
MID-UPPER LOW WILL BE OVERHEAD OF THE STATE, POSSIBLY RAISING THE
TYPICAL INVERSION. THIS AND A POSSIBLE WEAK SURFACE TROUGH COULD
ALLOW FOR MORE SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY OVER FAVORED TERRAIN, BUT
LIKELY NOT ANY WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN. AS THESE FEATURES EXIT,
THERE LOOKS TO BE REDUCED SUPPORT FOR SHOWERS ONCE AGAIN BY
MONDAY/TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK, FOR A RETURN TO A SOMEWHAT DRY TRADE
WIND PATTERN INTO MID-LATER NEXT WEEK.
SCHICHTEL
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