225
FXHW01 KWNH 240750
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
350 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2024
VALID 00Z FRI OCT 25 2024 - 00Z FRI NOV 01 2024
A DIPOLE OF CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOWS STATIONED NORTH OF THE ISLANDS
WILL BEGIN SEPARATING TODAY WHILE A BIT OF THE EASTERN LOW BREAKS
OFF AND INVERTS OVER THE STATE THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MONDAY. SOME
SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE STATE, BUT MOST
OF THE ASSOCIATED RAINFALL WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE BIG ISLAND.
STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC,
NORTH OF THE STATE, LATER THIS WEEKEND AND REESTABLISH THE
DOMINANT TRADE WINDS OVER HAWAII GOING INTO NEXT WEEK.
DETERMINISTIC, ENSEMBLE AND ML MODELS APPEAR TO CLUSTER REASONABLY
WELL WITH ONE ANOTHER ON THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN EVOLUTION AND
SURFACE LEVEL PRECIPITATION/WINDS, MINUS SOME SMALL DETAILS.
KEBEDE
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