154
FXHW01 KWNH 280734
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
333 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2024
VALID 00Z TUE OCT 29 2024 - 00Z TUE NOV 05 2024
GUIDANCE STILL INDICATES THAT DEEP POOLED MOISTURE MAY FUEL SOME
ENHANCED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE STATE TODAY INTO
TUESDAY UNDER AN UPPER LOW/WEAKNESS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN PLACE IN
THE SHORT TERM TO ADDRESS POSSIBLE LOCAL RUNOFF ISSUES.
PREDICTABILITY ALSO SEEMS ABOVE NORMAL THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
PERIODICALLY REINFORCED WHILE BRIDGING TO THE NORTH AND SETTLING
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD
FAVOR STRENGTHENED ISLAND TRADES AND LEAD INTO A DRIER PATTERN
WITH MAINLY WINDWARD TERRAIN FAVORED SHOWERS. HOWEVER, ENHANCED
SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY REDEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN ISLANDS LATER WEEK
PENDING INFLUX AND PASSAGE OF DEEPER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A
CURRENT EASTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL DISTURBANCE BEING MONITORED.
SCHICHTEL
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