582   
FXHW01 KWNH 090759  
PMDHI   
  
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
258 AM EST SAT NOV 09 2024  
  
VALID 00Z SUN NOV 10 2024 - 00Z SUN NOV 17 2024  
  
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SEEMS FAIRLY AGREEABLE THAT AN UPPER LEVEL  
RIDGE AND MEAN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT  
WEEK OVER/NORTH OF HAWAII. THIS WILL MAINTAIN BRISK TO STRONG  
TRADE WINDS, FOCUSING SHOWERS PRIMARILY OVER WINDWARD/MOUNTAIN  
LOCATIONS. WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE EASTERLY THIS WEEKEND AND  
ONWARD, WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING SPEEDS THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE  
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH STRENGTHENS WITH TIME. MODELS DO SHOW  
SHEARED SHORTWAVE ENERGY/A WEAK UPPER LOW RETROGRADING SOUTH OF  
THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK BEFORE IT GETS  
ABSORBED INTO ENERGY WEST OF HAWAII. CONSENSUS SHOWS PRECIPITABLE  
WATER VALUES RISING TO AROUND NORMAL LEVELS OR SO FOR A TIME  
DURING THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO THIS UPPER LOW. MOISTURE  
MAY REMAIN CLOSE TO NORMAL ON AVERAGE THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY WITH  
SOME FLUCTUATIONS AS DRIER/WETTER POCKETS MOVE ALONG WITHIN THE  
TRADES.  
  
SANTORELLI  
  
  
 
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