644
FXHW01 KWNH 290708
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
207 AM EST FRI NOV 29 2024
VALID 00Z SAT NOV 30 2024 - 00Z SAT DEC 07 2024
GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT EASTERLY TRADES WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE IN STRENGTH FOR THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE ON
THE LOWER SIDE FOR FUELING OF A LIMITED SHOWER FOCUS FOR FAVORED
WINDWARD/MOUNTAIN AREAS. INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, TRADES LOOK TO GET
DISRUPTED AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM NORTHWEST OF HAWAII AND
THERE IS A GENERAL MODEL SIGNAL FOR WINDS TO RESPOND BY TURNING
MORE SOUTHERLY, THOUGH PERHAPS WEAK ENOUGH INITIALLY FOR LAND AND
SEA BREEZES TO DOMINATE OVER THE ISLANDS THEMSELVES. BY MIDWEEK
THE WESTERN ISLANDS MAY HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF SEEING
SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER, AND MODELS
AND ENSEMBLES SUGGEST THE FRONT MAY REACH KAUAI AROUND LATER NEXT
THURSDAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW (AT LEAST ALOFT) MAY GRADUALLY
MOISTEN THE ATMOSPHERE, BUT WITH A MID-UPPER RIDGING OVERHEAD,
SHOWER COVERAGE DOES NOT LOOK TO EXPAND MUCH UNTIL ALONG THE
APPROACHING FRONT ITSELF INTO NEXT FRIDAY TO MONITOR.
SCHICHTEL
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