947
FXHW01 KWNH 170740
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
240 AM EST MON FEB 17 2025
VALID 00Z TUE FEB 18 2025 - 00Z TUE FEB 25 2025
A BLEND OF REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED MODEL AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE
SEEMS TO OFFER A SOLID FORECAST BASIS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. THE BLENDING OF COMPATIBLE GUIDANCE TENDS TO SMOOTH-OUT
NUMEROUS LINGERING SMALLER SCALE DIFFERENCES AS CONSISTENT WITH
INDIVIDUAL PREDICTABILITY. AN AREA OF ENHANCED MOISTURE WILL FEED
INTO THE WESTERN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND LINK
WITH MOISTURE FOCUSING IN ADVANCE OF A FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THESE ON ONGOING PER RADAR. THIS OFFERS POTENTIAL FOR
SOME LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. HIGH PRESSURE CELLS BRIDGING TO THE
NORTH OF THE STATE OVER THE NEXT WEEK SHOULD FAVOR MODERATE ISLAND
TRADES THAT MAY TEMPRARILY EASE LATE WEEK. EXPECT LIMITED RAINFALL
CHANCES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE.
SCHICHTEL
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