455  
FXHW01 KWNH 200701  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
301 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2025  
 
VALID 00Z FRI 21 MAR 2025 - 00Z FRI 28 MAR 2025  
 
A COMPOSITE OF FAVORED AND REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED MODEL AND  
ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE OFFERS AN ISLAND TRADE FLOW PATTERN WITH  
GENERALLY BELOW NORMAL AVAILABLE MOISTURE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  
THIS OCCURS AS NEARBY UPPER TROUGHING LOSES INFLUENCE AND AS  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGES FROM THE NORTH TO SETTLE TO THE  
NORTHEAST OF THE STATE. GUIDANCE THEN SIGNALS PASSAGE OF AN  
ENERGETIC MID-LATITUDE UPPER TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE  
LATER WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK THAT WOULD DISRUPT TRADES WHILE  
FORCING A MOISTURE POOLING AND ENHANCED RAINFALL FOCUSING COLD  
FRONT INTO THE ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK, ALBEIT WITH PUSH TRENDING  
SLIGHTLY LESS ARDENT IN LATEST GUIDANCE OVERALL.  
 
SCHICHTEL  
 
 
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