776  
FXHW01 KWNH 270732  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
332 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2025  
 
VALID 00Z MON 28 APR 2025 - 00Z MON 05 MAY 2025  
 
TODAY'S GUIDANCE SHOWS GOOD CONTINUITY WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN  
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SUNDAY-TUESDAY WILL BE UNSETTLED WITH A  
SURFACE TROUGH AND BAND OF ENHANCED MOISTURE ALIGNED OVER THE MAIN  
ISLANDS, SUPPORTING EPISODES OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL (POSSIBLY  
WITH SOME THUNDER) THAT SHOULD HAVE A SEA/LAND BREEZE FOCUS DUE TO  
LIGHT WINDS. CONSENSUS STILL SHOWS AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF NORTH  
OF THE STATE ON MONDAY AND DIVING SOUTH OVER OR BARELY NORTHEAST  
OF THE MAIN ISLANDS ON TUESDAY BEFORE CONTINUING EASTWARD AND  
OPENING UP. THIS UPPER LOW WOULD ENHANCE INSTABILITY AS IT PASSES  
THROUGH.  
 
DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER LOW AND THEN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE  
TRACKING BY TO THE NORTH WILL BRING A RETURN OF TRADES FROM  
MIDWEEK ONWARD. WINDS MAY BECOME FAIRLY BRISK LATE WEEK THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND, WITH A DECENT GRADIENT PERSISTING INTO SUNDAY EVEN AS  
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE TRADE PATTERN  
WILL SUPPORT WINDWARD/MOUNTAIN FOCUS FOR SHOWERS THAT SHOULD  
TREND LIGHTER, GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DECLINING TO OR  
BELOW CLIMATOLOGY.  
 
RAUSCH  
 
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