773  
FXHW01 KWNH 180631  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
231 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2025  
 
VALID 00Z SUN 19 OCT 2025 - 00Z SUN 26 OCT 2025  
 
THE MAIN SURFACE HIGH WILL BE SITUATED WELL TO THE NORTH OF HAWAII  
THIS WEEKEND, WITH THE TYPICAL EASTERLY TRADE WIND PATTERN OVER  
THE ISLANDS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. THE ENSEMBLE MEANS  
ARE HINTING AT A WEAK INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE  
STATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY IN RESPONSE TO A BROAD UPPER TROUGH  
OVER THE REGION. THE SURFACE HIGH THEN REBUILDS CLOSER TO THE  
ISLANDS TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK.  
 
NORMAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE WINDWARD TERRAIN CAN BE  
EXPECTED ON MOST DAYS. IT CURRENTLY DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THE MID-  
WEEK TROUGH WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO ADVECT DEEPER MOISTURE FROM  
THE ITCZ, SO THEREFORE NO MAJOR RAINFALL EVENTS ARE ANTICIPATED  
BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.  
 
HAMRICK  
 
 
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