600  
FXHW01 KWNH 210846  
PMDHI  
 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
346 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
VALID 00Z THU 22 JAN 2026 - 00Z THU 29 JAN 2026  
 
 
A LINE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR OAHU WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS  
TURNING TO SHOW A NORTHERLY COMPONENT, BUT WITH TEMPORARILY  
WEAKENING MOISTURE AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES THROUGH THE REGION. A  
SECONDARY FRONT WILL IN ITS WAKE WILL HELP TO REINFORCE THE  
BOUNDARY AND POOL HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS THE STATE,  
ESPECIALLY AS A SURGE OF MOISTURE COMES IN FROM THE WEST.  
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BROADLY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY  
WHICH IN TURN WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL FOR  
THE WEEKEND. THERE MAY BE EMBEDDED LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.  
 
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE UPPER TROUGH SHOULD BE MOVING EAST,  
WITH POSSIBLE RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. THIS TRANSITION  
WOULD FAVOR OVERALL DRYING. HOWEVER, THERE IS SPREAD IN THE  
GUIDANCE WITH THIS AND ALSO WHETHER OR NOT ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM  
WILL PASS THROUGH THE ISLAND STATE.  
 
CAMPBELL  
 
 
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