050
AWUS01 KWNH 171927
FFGMPD
TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-AZZ000-180115-
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0756
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
326 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE
VALID 171925Z - 180115Z
SUMMARY...SCATTERED TERRAIN BASED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TERRAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. HOURLY RAINFALL TO 2.0" ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 1930Z... TERRAIN-BASED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO, SACRAMENTO AND OTHER RANGES
IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS FAR WEST TEXAS. SOME MOISTURE IS
PRESENT WITH PW OF 1.0 TO 1.2" WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL. HOWEVER, THE
UPPER LOW PRESENT OVER THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF NM IS PROMOTING
ENHANCED INSTABILITY (SBCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG) AND REPEATING
STORM MOTION FROM THE CYCLONIC FLOW.
RAIN RATES SHOULD CONTINUE PEAK AROUND 2"/HR AND LOCALIZED TOTALS
OF 1-3" SHOULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING REST OF
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.
JACKSON
..PLEASE SEE WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...FGZ...GJT...MAF...PUB...
ATTN...RFC...FWR...STR...TUA...NWC...
LAT...LON 37400535 37360484 36290481 35540477 32970453
31700446 31290510 31270594 31940641 33300613
34200613 34940646 34940731 34220755 33930791
34570842 34890854 35130871 35390888 36110940
36600939 36710932 36740903 36470860 36500795
36870783 37270786 37340725
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