636
FXHW01 KWNH 290853
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
453 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2026
VALID 00Z SUN 30 AUG 2026 - 00Z SUN 06 SEP 2026
LATEST MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO SHOW A MORE STABLE
TRADE WIND PATTERN THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK, AS STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE SUPPORTS MODERATE TO GUSTY
EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY TRADES WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY LIMITED TO THE
TYPICAL WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. MOISTURE (AXIS OF HIGHER PWATS)
AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM LOWELL) COULD CLIP AT LEAST THE BIG ISLAND
AND MAUI BY WEDNESDAY PER THE ECMWF (GFS IS SLOWER), HOWEVER,THE
SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE, BOTH SPATIALLY AND TEMPORALLY, WITH THE
EVENTUAL TRACK AND POTENTIAL INTERACTION OF BOTH TROPICAL SYSTEMS
(LOWELL AND KARINA) ENTERING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN REMAINS
HIGH. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR MORE
INFORMATION REGARDING THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THESE
SYSTEMS.
HURLEY
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