649
FXHW01 KWNH 280935
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
535 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2026
VALID 00Z TUE 29 SEP 2026 - 00Z TUE 06 OCT 2026
DRAWN BY A WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND A MID-
TO-UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHWEST OF THE ISLANDS, HURRICANE NOLO IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE PERIOD.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LATE TUESDAY-
EARLY WEDNESDAY, BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE STORM TO AROUND 200
NM WEST OF KAUAI. AFTER THAT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ONCE AGAIN
TURN MORE TO THE WEST AND DRIFT FURTHER AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS.
MOISTURE DRAWN NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM IS
LIKELY TO INCREASE SHOWER ACTIVITY, ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN
ISLANDS MID WEEK. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE-NORMAL PWS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE WINDS WEAKEN AND
DRIER AIR MOVES ACROSS THE ISLANDS BY THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A FAIR
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY, BUT SOME MODELS INDICATE THE FIRST COLD
FRONT OF THE SEASON MAY APPROACH THE WESTERN ISLANDS DURING THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
REFER TO THE ADVISORIES/STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER FOR LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING HURRICANE NOLO.
PEREIRA
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