832
ACUS03 KWNS 130759
SWODY3
SPC AC 130758
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CST WED NOV 13 2024
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
AN INTENSIFYING DEEP-LAYER LOW IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE NC COAST
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD FRIDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL MOVE
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE COAST THROUGH THE DAY, AS A
TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA AND GULF OF
MEXICO. ELSEWHERE, A DEEP MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
GENERALLY LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN LOW
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS. SOME DEEPER
CONVECTION MAY PERSIST NEAR THE NC COAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPARTING LOW. OTHERWISE, WEAK CONVECTION WITH
ISOLATED LIGHTNING FLASHES CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS PARTS OF CA/NV
INTO THE GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND LIGHTNING COVERAGE IS TOO LOW TO ADD ANY
GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREAS ACROSS THE WEST AT THIS TIME.
..DEAN.. 11/13/2024
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