185
ACUS03 KWNS 131911
SWODY3
SPC AC 131911
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 PM CST WED NOV 13 2024
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A VERTICALLY STACKED CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE NC
COAST/OUTER BANKS VICINITY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE THEN QUICKLY
PROGRESSING EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. A FEW
LIGHTNING FLASHES ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR OF THIS
CYCLONE, WITH ANY HIGHER STORM COVERAGE REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE.
A DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE GRADUALLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS WHILE CONTINUING TO AMPLIFY. BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING, THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM ALBERTA
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TO OFF SOUTHERN CA/BAJA PENINSULA WITH STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGHOUT ITS EASTERN PERIPHERY EXTENDING
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST. A FEW FLASHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TROUGH AS IT MOVES
ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA AND INTO THE GREAT BASIN, SUPPORTED BY
COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND STRONG ASCENT. HOWEVER, COVERAGE IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10%.
..MOSIER.. 11/13/2024
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