133
ACUS03 KWNS 191929
SWODY3
SPC AC 191928
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A DEEP MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FROM
THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH
THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND NORTH OF A RELATED COASTAL
SURFACE LOW, COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT/MODESTLY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY OVER IMMEDIATE
COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
WHILE AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING FLASH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN A SWATH OF
WARM-ADVECTION PRECIPITATION, THE OVERALL COVERAGE APPEARS TOO
LIMITED FOR A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA. ELSEWHERE, EXPANSIVE
SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL CONUS AND RELATED OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
..WEINMAN.. 11/19/2024
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