286
ACUS11 KWNS 242300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242300
TXZ000-250030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0600 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629...
VALID 242300Z - 250030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A LOCALLY GREATER TORNADO THREAT IS EVIDENT NEAR TWO
SURFACE BOUNDARIES IN NORTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A WARM FRONT NEAR THE RED
RIVER AND A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY FARTHER SOUTH, ROUGHLY
EAST-WEST THROUGH THE DFW METROPLEX. WITH A CONTINUED INCREASE IN
MID-LEVEL ASCENT, A FEW STORMS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO INTENSIFY AHEAD OF
A LARGE AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN IN THE ROLLING PLAINS. THE STORM IN
PALO PINTO COUNTY HAS SHOWN THE MOST ORGANIZATION AND MODEST
LOW-LEVEL ROTATION OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES. THE KFWS VAD DOES SHOW
AMPLY LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE NEAR THE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
ZONE. AS LONG AS STORMS REMAIN DISCRETE, THERE WILL BE A LOCALLY
HIGHER TORNADO POTENTIAL NEAR THESE SURFACE BOUNDARIES.
..WENDT.. 10/24/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 32489847 32629853 32899846 33639798 33819778 33789742
33739727 33459730 32829744 32659757 32409777 32379801
32489847
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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