015
ACUS11 KWNS 261118
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261117
MSZ000-LAZ000-261245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2184
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0617 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 633...
VALID 261117Z - 261245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 633 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A NOTABLE UPTICK IN THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY IS EVIDENT
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI --
WITHIN TORNADO WATCH 633. THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST
ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS, WITH A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RADAR AND LIGHTNING DATA INDICATE AN
INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY/ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST HOUR
-- GENERALLY IN A NORTH-SOUTH CORRIDOR EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST LA
INTO SOUTHERN MS. A COUPLE RADAR-CONFIRMED TORNADOES HAVE BEEN NOTED
WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THE BROKEN BAND OF SUPERCELLS ARE EVOLVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY
ENLARGED/CLOCKWISE-CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS (UPWARDS OF 250 M2/S2
0-1 KM SRH PER VWP) AND LOWER 70S BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS. AS THESE
ESTABLISHED STORMS AND FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CONTINUE SPREADING
EASTWARD THIS MORNING, THE RISK FOR COUPLE TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 633.
..WEINMAN.. 10/26/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 29629090 31309002 31438983 31428945 31238921 30178952
29199002 29109032 29359081 29629090
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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