401  
ACUS01 KWNS 300014  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 300012  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0712 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025  
 
VALID 300100Z - 301200Z  
 
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS  
OF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC...  
   
..SUMMARY  
 
A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS COULD OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND  
EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.  
   
..01Z UPDATE  
 
EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TONIGHT  
REMAIN.  
 
EXIT REGION OF A STRONG 500MB SPEED MAX WILL SHIFT INTO THE WESTERN  
MID-ATLANTIC REGION LATE TONIGHT AS THE MIDLEVEL JET TRANSLATES  
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO CENTRAL NC BY 30/12Z. WEAK  
SURFACE LOW, CURRENTLY OFF THE NC COAST, WILL BE DRAWN INLAND AND  
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ENOUGH TO  
SUPPORT ROBUST UPDRAFTS. LARGE-SCALE FORCING IS EXPECTED TO AID THIS  
DEVELOPMENT, BUT CONVECTION SHOULD BE FOCUSED AHEAD OF THE FRONT  
LATE TONIGHT. LOW PROBABILITIES FOR WIND AND TORNADOES CONTINUE.  
 
..DARROW.. 10/30/2025  
 
 
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