056
ACUS01 KWNS 311928
SWODY1
SPC AC 311926
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
VALID 312000Z - 011200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH TONIGHT.
NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK. SEE THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..DEAN.. 10/31/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1100 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025/
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION
WITH LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGHING DOMINATING EAST OF THE ROCKIES AND THE
PREVALENCE OF CONTINENTAL SURFACE TRAJECTORIES, THE LARGE-SCALE
PATTERN WILL REMAIN GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CONUS TODAY. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING FLASHES COULD OCCUR ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH FOCUSED ASCENT NEAR A SURFACE LOW AND
NORTHWARD-SHIFTING FRONT, BUT THIS POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LIMITED AND
FURTHER DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS AS LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION INCREASES, BUT FORECAST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SUGGEST
THAT CHARGE SEPARATION IS UNLIKELY PRIOR TO 12Z SATURDAY.
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