025
FNUS22 KWNS 061939
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CST THU NOV 06 2025
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
NO CHANGES TO THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK WERE NECESSARY BASED ON LATEST
FORECAST GUIDANCE.
..MID-MISSOURI VALLEY AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
A LIMITED ALIGNMENT OF DRY, POST-FRONTAL WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-MISSOURI VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY. LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS ONLY
A MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OF SHORT DURATION ACROSS
NE/NORTHEASTERN KS AS WELL AS NORTHWEST TX/FAR SOUTHWEST OK,
PRECLUDING INTRODUCTION OF ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS.
..MID-ATLANTIC
A STEADY SOUTHWEST WIND OF 10-15 MPH (LOCALLY 20 MPH) IN RESPONSE TO
A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES IS LIKELY TO
EVOLVE THURSDAY ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.
INCREASING MID AND UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER SHOULD AID IN LIMITING RH
REDUCTIONS IN THE AFTERNOON PRIMARILY INTO THE 30-35%. SPORADIC
DRIER CONDITIONS WHERE RH FALLS TO 25% COULD SUPPORT LOCALLY
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AMID DRIER FUELS AND BREEZY WINDS,
BUT A BROADER FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT LIKELY ACROSS EASTERN VA.
..WILLIAMS.. 11/06/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1135 PM CST WED NOV 05 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS AS A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE EASTERN U.S. ON FRIDAY. WITH THE
MAIN SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO ONTARIO/QUEBEC, THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL TREND WEAKER IN THE SOUTHWEST/PLAINS. A COLD FRONT
WILL SLOW ITS SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD PROGRESS, LIKELY BECOMING
QUASI-STATIONARY FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MID-SOUTH,
MID-ATLANTIC, AND NORTHEAST.
..MID-MISSOURI VALLEY
THOUGH THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE REGION, A FEW
HOURS OF FLOW ENHANCEMENT REMAIN POSSIBLE AT THE SURFACE BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT. WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES LAGGING BEHIND THE BOUNDARY, RH
COULD BE REDUCED TO 25-30%. WINDS WILL BE MARGINALLY ELEVATED AT
AROUND 15 MPH. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR AS FUELS IN
THE AREA REMAIN DRY.
..MID-ATLANTIC
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT, SOUTHERLY WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE DRY AIRMASS THAT WILL HAVE JUST
MOVED INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY WILL PROMOTE RH OF 25-30% AT LEAST
LOCALLY. WITH POCKETS OF DRIER FUELS, A LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE THREAT
COULD DEVELOP. AT LEAST LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE FALLEN ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS, ALONG WITH THE MARGINAL
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS, PRECLUDES HIGHLIGHTS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page