639
FNUS22 KWNS 082044
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CST SAT NOV 08 2025
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
CORRECTED FOR MISSING HEADLINE
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS
A TARGETED ELEVATED AREA WAS ADDED FOR THE WIND-PRONE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN CA. THE
LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE LAX-DAG
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PEAK AROUND -5 MB ON SUNDAY MORNING AMID
DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING. THIS GRADIENT SHOULD FAVOR AROUND 15-25
MPH SUSTAINED NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS (WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS
UPWARDS OF 45 MPH IN TERRAIN-FAVORING AREAS). THESE WINDY/GUSTY
CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE WARMING/DRYING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
FAVOR ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER POCKETS OF RECEPTIVE
FUELS.
ELSEWHERE, THE PRIMARY CHANGE WAS AN EASTWARD EXPANSION OF THE
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS ALONG PARTS OF THE TX AND LA COAST. THE LATEST
HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE DEPICTS SUSTAINED NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS
OF 15 MPH (WITH HIGHER GUSTS) AND AROUND 30 PERCENT RH. GIVEN
ONGOING DROUGHT/MODESTLY RECEPTIVE FUELS, ELEVATED CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
..WEINMAN.. 11/08/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0121 AM CST SAT NOV 08 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CONUS THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY, RESULTING IN AN EXPANSIVE SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS. BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT,
STRONG WINDS (20-25 MPH SUSTAINED) WILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN TEXAS WITH STRONG HEATING RESULTING IN WARMING AND LOWERING
RH TO THE 15-20% RANGE. WITH REASONABLY DRY FUELS, HAVE INTRODUCED A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THIS REGION.
ADDITIONALLY, WITH THE EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE, THIS MAY RESULT IN
SOME TIGHTENING OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS IN SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA, WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME BRIEFLY ENHANCED DOWNSLOPE FLOW
WITH RH IN THE 15-20% RANGE. HOWEVER, FUELS IN THIS REGION DO NOT
APPEAR PARTICULARLY RECEPTIVE TO FIRE SPREAD, AND WITH THE
RELATIVELY BRIEF NATURE OF THE RISK, HAVE OPTED TO NOT INCLUDE
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS REGION ON THIS OUTLOOK. THIS MAY BE
REVISITED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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