712
FNUS22 KWNS 091953
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0152 PM CST SUN NOV 09 2025
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
..SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE
A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST WILL USHER IN A
COOLER BUT VERY DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MASS INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AND FL
PENINSULA TONIGHT INTO DAY 2/MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN GA AND NORTHERN FL THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, POCKETS OF DRY FUELS REMAINING
WITHIN AREAS IN EXTREME DROUGHT COULD ALIGN WITH PERSISTENT OFFSHORE
WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST OF 15-20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF
20-30%. THIS SHOULD TO SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR
SOUTHERN GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE MONDAY.
..SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WEST WILL MAINTAIN DRY OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. LATEST FORECAST
GUIDANCE DEPICTS A SLIGHTLY REDUCED EAST-NORTHEAST WIND COMPONENT
HEADING INTO MONDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS OF 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 15-20% RANGE ARE LIKELY THROUGH FAVORED
COASTAL RANGE GAPS BUT WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED. SIMILARLY ISOLATED BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE SAN
JACINTO/PENINSULAR RANGES BUT A BROAD FIRE WEATHER THREAT OF LONGER
DURATION IS NOT EXPECTED AS OVERALL WINDS DECREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
..WILLIAMS.. 11/09/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1224 AM CST SUN NOV 09 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A LARGE, AMPLIFIED TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL TRANSLATE
EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY, PUSHING A FRONT OFF THE FLORIDA
COAST BY EVENING. BEHIND THIS FRONT, A DRY AIR MASS WILL BE PRESENT,
WITH 25-30% RH AND 20-25 MPH WINDS, AND SOME POCKETS OF DRY FUELS
ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA MAY PROVE RECEPTIVE TO FIRE SPREAD. SOME
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AHEAD OF THE
FRONT PASSAGE ON SUNDAY EVENING, AND THIS MAY LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER
RISK. HOWEVER, ENOUGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS TO DELINEATE AN ELEVATED
RISK AREA OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA.
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, THE LAX-DAG AND LAX-WJF PRESSURE
GRADIENTS REMAIN AROUND -5 MB FOR PORTIONS OF THE DAY ON MONDAY,
WHICH MAY INDUCE PERIODS OF OFFSHORE FLOW AND DRYING. RH IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEAR 15-20% THROUGH THE DAY WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY
THE PREVIOUS NIGHT. HOWEVER, DUE TO UNCERTAINTY ON HOW LONG THE WIND
MAY PERSIST, AN ELEVATED AREA IS NOT INTRODUCED AT THIS TIME, THOUGH
THIS MAY BE REEVALUATED IN THE FUTURE.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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