419
ACUS11 KWNS 081930
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081929
COZ000-082200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1030
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 PM CDT MON JUN 08 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 081929Z - 082200Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INCREASINGLY
PROBABLE BY 2-4 PM MDT, INCLUDING AN EVOLVING SUPERCELL OR TWO
ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK FOR A TORNADO, IN ADDITION TO SIZABLE HAIL.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGING NOSING SOUTHWARD THROUGH NORTHEASTERN
COLORADO IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN, WITH 2-HOURLY SURFACE PRESSURE
FALLS AROUND 2 MB SAMPLED IN 19Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TO THE
IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. NEAR-SURFACE FLOW IS
VEERING TO AN EAST/SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT, LEADING TO MOISTENING
UPSLOPE FLOW NORTH OF THE PALMER RIDGE INTO THE GREATER DENVER AREA.
BENEATH MODEST (AROUND 20 KT), BUT STRONGLY SHEARED, SOUTHWESTERLY
DEEP-LAYER MEAN FLOW, THE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME
INCREASINGLY CONDUCIVE TO SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES WITH CONTINUING
INSOLATION. THOUGH MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE TENDING TO RISE, IT
APPEARS THAT THIS MAY BE AIDED BY FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION. STRONGEST STORMS ALONG THE
NORTHERN SLOPE OF THE PALMER RIDGE MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIAL
FOR A TORNADO OR TWO, IN ADDITION TO SIZABLE HAIL.
..KERR/SMITH.. 06/08/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 40220492 39730257 38580344 39240493 40220492
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN
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