181
ACUS11 KWNS 090402
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090402
MOZ000-KSZ000-090530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1041
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 PM CDT MON JUN 08 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 090402Z - 090530Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A BOWING CLUSTER WILL CONTINUE EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD WITH A
RISK FOR SEVERE GUSTS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. A NEW WATCH WILL BE ISSUED DOWNSTREAM.
DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE BOWING COMPLEX OVER CENTRAL KS WITH A
HISTORY OF SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF
MEASURED SEVERE WINDS, DAMAGE, AND OBSERVED RADAR VELOCITIES
INDICATE THIS COMPLEX REMAINS VERY STRONG. A LARGE RESERVOIR OF
BUOYANCY (MUCAPE 3000-4000 J/KG) REMAINS IN PLACE OVER EASTERN KS,
WEAKENING INTO WESTERN MO. THIS SHOULD MAINTAIN THE THREAT FOR
DAMAGING GUSTS WITH THESE STRONG STORMS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
TONIGHT. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COULD ALSO SUPPORT A COUPLE OF QLCS
TORNADOES.
CURRENT CAM TRENDS EVENTUALLY SHOW WEAKENING LATER TONIGHT AS THE
COMPLEX IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO WEAKER BUOYANCY AND INCREASING
NOCTURNAL INHIBITION ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER. HOWEVER, THE STRENGTH
OF THE COLD POOL AND RADAR OBSERVED REAR INFLOW JET SUGGEST THIS
WILL TAKE SEVERAL HOURS. A THREAT FOR DAMAGING GUSTS AND QLCS
TORNADOES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR SOME TIME TONIGHT. A WATCH
DOWNSTREAM FROM WW290 WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KS AND
WESTERN MO IN THE NEXT HOUR.
..LYONS/GLEASON.. 06/09/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37109363 37019459 37429589 37829685 38179681 39139644
39449609 39429435 39219382 38759326 38299318 37489327
37109363
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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