120
FNAK71 PAFC 052001
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR GIRDWOOD AVALANCHE AK25020258...ALASKA MOUNTAIN RESCUE GROUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1101 AM AKST WED MAR 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 AKST ON MARCH 05.
DISCUSSION
A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING UP FROM THE ALASKA GULF WILL MOVE UP INTO
THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE NORTH INTO THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
DIMINISH AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS EVENING, BECOMING
VARIABLE TO WEAKLY WESTERLY OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS ALONG THE WEST
FORK OF THE TWENTYMILE RIVER WILL DROP QUICKLY TO THE VALLEY FLOOR
AS COOLER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, ALLOWING A
RAIN/SNOW MIX TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY WILL REMAIN LOW (GENERALLY IFR TO MVFR
RANGE OR LESS) UNTIL LOWER CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW BEGIN TO CLEAR
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY, WITH CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY LIKELY TO RISE TO MFVR RANGE OR BETTER BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS FOR THURSDAY WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND WESTERLY,
BECOMING EASTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........AROUND 28.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).BREEZY. EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING 25
TO 35 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.45 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 TO 1 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........1000 FT.
CEILING (KFT).......1000 TO 1500 FT.
VISIBILITY..........1 TO 3 STATUTE MILES.
SUNSET..............6:34 PM AKST.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN IN THE
EVENING BECOMING ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........AROUND 25.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH
IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.88 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....2 TO 5 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........800 FT IN THE EVENING DROPPING TO 100 FT
OVERNIGHT.
CEILING (KFT).......1000 TO 1500 FT LOWERING TO 500 TO 1000 FT
OVERNIGHT.
VISIBILITY..........1 TO 2 STATUTE MILES.
SUNRISE.............7:39 AM AKST.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). LIGHT SNOW IN THE
MORNING, THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT DIMINISHING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........AROUND 20 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.12 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 TO 1 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........0 TO 100 FT.
CEILING (KFT).......AROUND 1000 FT IN THE MORNING RISING TO 2000
TO 4000 IN THE AFTERNOON.
VISIBILITY..........AROUND 2 STATUTE MILES IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 STATUTE MILES IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SUNSET..............6:36 PM AKST.
FORECASTER...SHRIVER
REQUESTED BY...AMY HOLMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2505038.0/AER
.DELDT 03/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALLYSONYOUNGBLOOD@ME.COM,MSMIRAGLIA050@GMAIL.COM,WENDY@CHUGACHAVALANCHE.ORG,TIMOTHY.GLASSETT@ALASKA.GOV,MANCH.GARHART@GIRDWOODFIRE.COM,HENRY.MUNTER@CPGHELI.COM,ANDREW@CHUGACHAVALANCHE.ORG,MALCOLM.HERSTAND@GMAIL.COM,JESSE.DARBY@ALASKA.GOV,AMY.HOLMAN.AK@GMAIL.COM,PAULWUNNICKE@GMAIL.COM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page