524
FNAK71 PAFC 060049
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR GIRDWOOD AVALANCHE AK25020258...ALASKA MOUNTAIN RESCUE GROUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
349 PM AKST WED MAR 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 AKST ON MARCH 05.
DISCUSSION
UPDATES SINCE THIS MORNING: LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL FORECAST.
THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THE FRONT COULD MOVE THROUGH
SLIGHTLY FASTER ON THURSDAY MORNING, POTENTIALLY LEADING TO
IMPROVING CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY A LITTLE EARLIER IN THE DAY ON
THURSDAY.
A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING UP FROM THE ALASKA GULF WILL MOVE UP INTO
THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE NORTH INTO THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
DIMINISH AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS EVENING, BECOMING
VARIABLE TO WEAKLY WESTERLY OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS ALONG THE WEST
FORK OF THE TWENTYMILE RIVER WILL DROP QUICKLY TO THE VALLEY FLOOR
AS COOLER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, ALLOWING A
RAIN/SNOW MIX TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY WILL REMAIN LOW (GENERALLY IFR TO MVFR
RANGE OR LESS) UNTIL LOWER CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW BEGIN TO CLEAR
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY, WITH CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY LIKELY TO RISE TO MFVR RANGE OR BETTER BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS FOR THURSDAY WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND WESTERLY,
BECOMING EASTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........AROUND 25.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING 25 TO 35 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.18 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 TO 1 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........1000 FT.
CEILING (FT)........1000 TO 1500 FT.
VISIBILITY..........1 TO 2 STATUTE MILES OR LESS.
SUNSET..............6:34 PM AKST.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING BECOMING ALL SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........MISSING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH
IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
MPH OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.62 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....3 TO 5 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........800 FT IN THE EVENING DROPPING TO 100 FT OR
LESS OVERNIGHT.
CEILING (FT)........500 TO 1000 FT.
VISIBILITY..........1 TO 2 STATUTE MILES.
SUNRISE.............7:39 AM AKST.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN
THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........AROUND 20 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 TO 1 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........0 TO 100 FT.
CEILING (FT)........AROUND 1000 FT EARLY IN THE MORNING RISING TO
2000 TO 4000 FT BY AROUND MIDDAY.
VISIBILITY..........AROUND 2 STATUTE MILES IN THE EARLY MORNING
RISING TO 6 TO 10 STATUTE MILES BY MIDDAY.
SUNSET..............6:36 PM AKST.
FORECASTER...SHRIVER
REQUESTED BY...AMY HOLMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2505038.1/AER
.DELDT 03/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALLYSONYOUNGBLOOD@ME.COM,MSMIRAGLIA050@GMAIL.COM,WENDY@CHUGACHAVALANCHE.ORG,TIMOTHY.GLASSETT@ALASKA.GOV,MANCH.GARHART@GIRDWOODFIRE.COM,HENRY.MUNTER@CPGHELI.COM,ANDREW@CHUGACHAVALANCHE.ORG,MALCOLM.HERSTAND@GMAIL.COM,JESSE.DARBY@ALASKA.GOV,AMY.HOLMAN.AK@GMAIL.COM,PAULWUNNICKE@GMAIL.COM
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