764
FNAK71 PAFC 100358
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR NELCHINA GLACIER FIRE...SOA DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
758 PM AKDT WED JUL 9 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 AKDT ON JULY 09.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH THE
PREVAILING DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM WEST-SOUTHWEST TO EAST THURSDAY
MORNING AS A FRONT PASSES. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. SHORTLY AFTER THE EASTERLY
WIND CHANGE, A PUSH OF WIND AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS SOMETIME DURING THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AGAIN
STARTING BETWEEN 7 AND 10 PM, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY, THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME FOR EXACTLY WHERE PRECIPITATION
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP
FRIDAY WILL LIKELY TRACK FROM EAST-NORTHEAST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST
WITH THE MORE LIKELY LOCATIONS BEING NEAR TERRAIN AND ENHANCED
ALONG EASTERN SLOPES.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF STRONGER, EASTERLY
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IS
POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH, INCREASING TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. WEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE
EVENING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02 INCHES.
FORECASTER...RUX
REQUESTED BY...BEN ENGLEHARDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517468.2/AER
.DELDT 07/09/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DANIEL.WHITE@ALASKA.GOV,JERED.KEMP@ALASKA.GOV,ANDY_JOHNSON@FIRENET.GOV,FIREINALASKA@YAHOO.COM,FIRENCOLORADO@GMAIL.COM
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