343
FNAK71 PAFC 060332
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRANCIS MARLEY...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
632 PM AKST THU MAR 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 AKST ON MARCH 05.
DISCUSSION
A COMPLEX STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL STARTING
LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FOR
FRIDAY, LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD OVERHEAD EARLY IN THE MORNING,
REMAINING LIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY DUE TO STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS OVER THE CHUGACH. ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A TRACE AND 1.5
INCHES ARE EXPECTED AND WILL BE STRONGLY RELATED TO THE STRENGTH
OF THE WINDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS.
BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO EVENING THE STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND, BRINGING A PERIOD OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES. LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
FOR SATURDAY, EXPECT LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS AND TEMPERATURES
FOLLOWING A DIURNAL CYCLE BETWEEN 0 AND 15 DEGREES. STORM TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 INCHES, WITH
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IF THE WINDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS ARE
WEAKER ON FRIDAY AND SHOWERS LINGER THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.
SNOW LIKELY AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 15.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........AROUND 8
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3
AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
LIQUID AMOUNT.......0.05 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.7 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........0 FT.
VISIBILITY..........UNLIMITED UNTIL 3AM BECOMING 1 TO 3 MILES
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........84 84 84 89 89 89 87 87 87 91 91 91
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 30 30 30 60 60 60
TEMP............18 17 16 15 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 19
RH..............62 64 66 68 69 70 72 73 74 75 76 76
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 7 7 7
SURFACE WND GST. 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 10 10 10
SNOW LVL (KFT)..0
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). LIGHT SNOW IN THE
IN THE MORNING, INCREASING BY LATE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........9 DEGREES INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LIQUID AMOUNT.......0.24 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....3.0 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........0 FT.
VISIBILITY..........3 TO 5 MILES IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 1 MILE
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
TIME (AKST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........97 97 97 100 100 100 92 92 92 89 89 89
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 90 90 90 60 60 60 70 70 70
TEMP............19 20 21 22 23 25 26 27 29 30 30 28
RH..............77 76 76 76 74 74 73 75 77 79 80 81
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N SE SE SE
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 7 9 9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5
SURFACE WND GST.9 9 9 12 12 12 8 8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 20 20 20 17 17 17 12 12 12
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 11.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........25 DEGREES DROPPING TO -5 OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH.
LIQUID AMOUNT.......0.21 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....3.0 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........0FT.
VISIBILITY..........0.5 MILES TO 2 MILES.
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........87 87 87 88 88 88 90 90 90 86 86 86
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 90 90 90 80 80 80
TEMP............26 25 23 22 21 20 19 18 16 15 14 14
RH..............83 84 85 81 81 81 81 80 81 80 82 84
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 15 15 15 13 13 13 13 13 13
SURFACE WND GST.10 10 10 28 28 28 23 23 23 25 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 21 21 21 18 18 18 14 14 14
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........-5 DEGREES INCREASING TO 15 DEGREES
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LIQUID AMOUNT.......0.06 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........0 FT.
VISIBILITY..........0.5 TO 3 MILES IN SNOW SHOWERS OTHERWISE
UNRESTRICTED.
TIME (AKST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 76 76 77 77 77 74 74 74 74 74 74
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 30 30
TEMP............13 12 11 12 14 16 18 20 21 21 20 20
RH..............85 85 83 81 78 75 73 71 70 72 73 74
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S NE NE NE W W W
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 7 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
SURFACE WND GST.14 14 14 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 8 8 10 10 10 7 7 7
FORECASTER...JONES
REQUESTED BY...AML/HAZMAT
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2604927.0/AER
.DELDT 03/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FMARLEY@BLM.GOV
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