459
FNAK71 PAFC 161505
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR KILEY RIVER...DIVISION OF FORESTRY & FIRE PROTECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
705 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON MAY 16.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT CLEAR AND DRY CONDITION TODAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EASTERLY WINDS WILL THEN QUICKLY INCREASE
LATER THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING
TOWARD COASTAL SOUTHCENTRAL. EXPECT EASTERLY WINDS UP TO TO 30
MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT DURING
THE PERIOD OF PEAK WINDS, LIKELY BETWEEN 6 PM THIS EVENING AND 8
AM SUNDAY MORNING. CHANCES FOR RAIN INCREASES BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........FALLING TO 24 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND THROUGH MID MORNING,
THEN BECOMING EAST AT 8 TO 14 MPH BY LATE MORNING
OR EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 700 FT THROUGH MID MORNING RISING TO
4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41 41 41 66 66 66 60 60 60 70 70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 44 48 51 52 53 54 54 54 53 53
RH..............72 63 55 50 44 38 32 28 28 26 24
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 9 9 10 14 14 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST. 13 13 16 24 25 25 27 27
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 14 14 14 20 20 20 23 23
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 4000 FT IN THE EVENING FALLING TO AROUND
800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 23 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........70 85 85 85 92 92 92 92 92 92 90 90
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............52 51 49 48 46 45 44 43 42 42 42 42
RH..............40 42 44 46 47 51 54 57 59 61 64 64
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.25 28 28 28 32 34 34 32 30 28 31 31
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 22 22 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................9 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 700 FT THROUGH MID MORNING RISING TO
2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 89 89 89 79 79 79 86 86 86 94 94
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 40 40 40 30 30
TEMP............42 43 45 47 49 51 52 53 53 52 50 50
RH..............67 66 64 62 52 44 42 46 50 52 54 55
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..17 15 15 15 13 13 13 3 3 3 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.31 28 28 28 21 21 21 9 9 9 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 18 18 13 13 13 8 8 8 8 8
FORECASTER...MARKLE
REQUESTED BY...TERESA ROSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613796.0/AER
.DELDT 05/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TERESA.ROSE@ALASKA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page