638  
FNAK71 PAFC 171449  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE GRANITE CREEK RX...SOA DFFP  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
649 AM AKDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 AKDT ON MAY 17.    
DISCUSSION
 
 
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE  
DIMINISHING AND BECOMING VARIABLE. CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS  
INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON, WITH 40-50% CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH  
MONDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID  
50'S.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO  
18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION RATE....POOR TO FAIR (862-6276 M^2/S).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 85 85 85 70 70 70 82 82  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............41 44 48 50 52 54 54 54 53  
RH..............53 48 44 41 39 38 38 39 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 8 8 3 3 3 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 17 17 17 15 15 15 18 18  
VENT (M^2/S)....862 62766276627662766276627657585758  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 11 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (470-5758 M^2/S).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........82 84 84 84 80 80 80 80 80 80 84 84  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............52 50 48 46 44 43 41 40 39 38 38 38  
RH..............44 46 51 56 60 64 68 73 75 75 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 6 6 6 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 8 12 12 12 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 13 13 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6  
VENT (M^2/S)....5758575857585758470 470 470 470 470 470 549 549  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
VENTILATION RATE....POOR TO FAIR (549-6213 M^2/S).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........84 82 82 82 75 75 75 78 78 78 89 89  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............38 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 50 51 52 51  
RH..............76 75 69 63 58 53 48 44 43 41 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 5 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.6 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12  
VENT (M^2/S)....549 549 549 549 53185318531853185318531862136213  
 

 
FORECASTER...MITCHELL  
REQUESTED BY...JERED KEMP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613745.1/AER  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JERED.KEMP@ALASKA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab AK Page Main Text Page