917  
FNAK71 PAFC 171508  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KILEY RIVER...DIVISION OF FORESTRY & FIRE PROTECTION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
708 AM AKDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON MAY 17.    
DISCUSSION
 
 
AS OF 7 AM, WINDS AROUND KILEY RIVER ARE LIGHT FROM THE EAST, BUT  
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING  
BEFORE DIMINISHING AND BECOMING VARIABLE. CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS  
INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON, WITH 40-50% CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH MONDAY.  
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 50'S.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................9 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9  
TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 92 92 72 72 72 90 90 90 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 50 50  
TEMP............43 45 47 50 51 52 53 52 52 51 51  
RH..............66 64 62 59 55 52 50 50 52 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 10 10 10 10 10 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 20 20 20 20 20 7 7 7 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 12 12 12 9 9 9 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 3  
AM.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........92 91 91 91 82 82 82 70 70 70 69 69  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20  
TEMP............50 49 48 46 45 43 42 40 40 39 39 39  
RH..............62 63 67 72 79 81 83 88 89 89 88 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SW SW SW N N N N N N E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 68 68 68 76 76 76 79 79 79 91 91  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............39 39 42 44 47 48 50 52 52 51 51 51  
RH..............86 85 76 69 62 58 54 50 50 51 51 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.5 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 13 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...ANCHORAGE WFO  
REQUESTED BY...TERESA ROSE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613796.1/AER  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TERESA.ROSE@ALASKA.GOV  
 
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